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Should I start Brevyn Spann-Ford in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · DAL vs HOU · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Brevyn Spann-Ford in Week 4 unless Jake Ferguson is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 0.8 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE63 | Sit | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Half-PPR | TE64 | Sit | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Standard | TE70 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 |
Game environment: DAL market-implied team total 22.8 vs 25.8 for HOU (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 3% target share, 0% carry share, 33% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Elijah Higgins (TE62), Lucas Krull (TE63), Elijah Arroyo (TE65), Eric Saubert (TE66).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings