PropPlayers › WR › JAC
Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · JAC vs CIN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Brian Thomas Jr. WR61 in half-PPR for Week 4 (JAC vs CIN): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.1 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 8.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR61 (median 5.3). Standard: WR61 (median 2.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR61 | Sit | 5.3 | 1.9 | 10.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR61 | Sit | 4.1 | 1.3 | 8.5 |
| Standard | WR61 | Sit | 2.9 | 0.7 | 6.6 |
Game environment: JAC market-implied team total 24.8 vs 27.2 for CIN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 16% target share, 0% carry share, 42% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Antonio Williams (WR59), Kendrick Bourne (WR60), Theo Wease Jr. (WR62), Elic Ayomanor (WR63).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings