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Should I start Chris Moore in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BAL vs TEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Chris Moore in Week 4 unless Zay Flowers is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 1.8 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 6% of our 10,000 simulations.
Q Injury status at export time.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR100 | Sit | 2.3 | 0.0 | 7.4 |
| Half-PPR | WR100 | Sit | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.5 |
| Standard | WR96 | Sit | 1.2 | 0.0 | 5.6 |
Game environment: BAL market-implied team total 27.0 vs 15.5 for TEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 8% target share, 0% carry share, 48% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Jauan Jennings (WR98), Dohnte Meyers (WR99), Joshua Palmer (WR101), Calvin Ridley (WR102).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings