PropPlayers › QB › SEA
Should I start Drew Lock in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SEA vs LAC · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Drew Lock in Week 4 unless Sam Darnold is out: as a backup QB his median is 0.0 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB38 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Half-PPR | QB38 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Standard | QB38 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Game environment: SEA market-implied team total 24.8 vs 17.8 for LAC (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 0% target share, 2% carry share, 95% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Andy Dalton (QB36), Miller Moss (QB37), Fernando Mendoza (QB39), Joe Flacco (QB40).
Compare Drew Lock with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings