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Should I start Jalen Hurts in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · PHI vs LAR · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jalen Hurts QB17 in half-PPR for Week 4 (PHI vs LAR): sit in a 12-team league. Median 15.4 points, floor 8.3 (p10), ceiling 23.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB17 (median 15.4). Standard: QB17 (median 15.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB17 | Sit | 15.4 | 8.3 | 23.7 |
| Half-PPR | QB17 | Sit | 15.4 | 8.3 | 23.7 |
| Standard | QB17 | Sit | 15.4 | 8.3 | 23.7 |
Game environment: PHI market-implied team total 19.5 vs 23.0 for LAR (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 0% target share, 20% carry share, 97% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Bo Nix (QB15), Jacoby Brissett (QB16), Trevor Lawrence (QB18), Matthew Stafford (QB19).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings