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Should I start Julius Chestnut in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Julius Chestnut in Week 4 unless Tony Pollard is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.0 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB104 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Half-PPR | RB103 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Standard | RB103 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Lew Nichols III (RB101), Hunter Luepke (RB102), Josh Williams (RB104), Reggie Gilliam (RB105).
Compare Julius Chestnut with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings