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Should I start Mark Andrews in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BAL vs TEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Mark Andrews TE23 in half-PPR for Week 4 (BAL vs TEN): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.1 points, floor 0.9 (p10), ceiling 9.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE22 (median 5.6). Standard: TE24 (median 2.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE22 | Sit | 5.6 | 1.3 | 12.1 |
| Half-PPR | TE23 | Sit | 4.1 | 0.9 | 9.7 |
| Standard | TE24 | Sit | 2.5 | 0.4 | 7.6 |
Game environment: BAL market-implied team total 27.0 vs 15.5 for TEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 25% target share, 0% carry share, 65% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Greg Dulcich (TE21), Tucker Kraft (TE22), Colston Loveland (TE24), Tyler Higbee (TE25).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings