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Should I start Seth McGowan in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · IND vs WAS · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET ·
PropSims says sit Seth McGowan in Week 4 unless Jonathan Taylor is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.5 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 6% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB95 | Sit | 0.6 | -0.1 | 3.3 |
| Half-PPR | RB95 | Sit | 0.5 | -0.1 | 3.0 |
| Standard | RB93 | Sit | 0.3 | -0.2 | 2.6 |
Game environment: IND market-implied team total 25.5 vs 21.0 for WAS (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 1% target share, 6% carry share, 11% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): CJ Donaldson (RB93), Travis Homer (RB94), Alec Ingold (RB96), Dare Ogunbowale (RB97).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings