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Should I start Ted Hurst III in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TB vs GB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Ted Hurst III WR52 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TB vs GB): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.8 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 10.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR53 (median 6.2). Standard: WR51 (median 3.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR53 | Sit | 6.2 | 1.9 | 12.4 |
| Half-PPR | WR52 | Sit | 4.8 | 1.3 | 10.5 |
| Standard | WR51 | Sit | 3.5 | 0.7 | 8.7 |
Game environment: TB market-implied team total 18.0 vs 21.0 for GB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 14% target share, 0% carry share, 75% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Xavier Worthy (WR50), Tre' Harris (WR51), Ryan Flournoy (WR53), Quentin Johnston (WR54).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings