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Should I start Tez Johnson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TB vs GB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Tez Johnson WR73 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TB vs GB): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.0 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 8.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR76 (median 3.7). Standard: WR73 (median 2.2).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR76 | Sit | 3.7 | 0.0 | 9.8 |
| Half-PPR | WR73 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.0 | 8.6 |
| Standard | WR73 | Sit | 2.2 | 0.0 | 7.6 |
Game environment: TB market-implied team total 18.0 vs 21.0 for GB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 7% target share, 2% carry share, 25% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Keon Coleman (WR71), Kayshon Boutte (WR72), Jalen Nailor (WR74), Rashid Shaheed (WR75).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings