PropPlayers › TE › KC
Should I start Travis Kelce in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · KC vs LV · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Travis Kelce TE7 in half-PPR for Week 4 (KC vs LV): start in a 12-team league. Median 7.0 points, floor 1.8 (p10), ceiling 15.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE7 (median 9.0). Standard: TE6 (median 5.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE7 | Start | 9.0 | 2.6 | 18.0 |
| Half-PPR | TE7 | Start | 7.0 | 1.8 | 15.1 |
| Standard | TE6 | Start | 5.0 | 1.1 | 12.1 |
Game environment: KC market-implied team total 26.2 vs 21.8 for LV (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 18% target share, 0% carry share, 78% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Travis Kelce vs similar TEs
- Travis Kelce or Brock Bowers? Travis Kelce outscores Brock Bowers in 43% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Travis Kelce or Sam LaPorta? Travis Kelce outscores Sam LaPorta in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Travis Kelce or Tyler Warren? Travis Kelce outscores Tyler Warren in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Travis Kelce or Dalton Kincaid? Travis Kelce outscores Dalton Kincaid in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Travis Kelce or Zach Ertz? Travis Kelce outscores Zach Ertz in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Travis Kelce or George Kittle? Travis Kelce outscores George Kittle in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Sam LaPorta (TE5), Tyler Warren (TE6), Dalton Kincaid (TE8), Zach Ertz (TE9).
Compare Travis Kelce with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings