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Should I start Bijan Robinson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · ATL vs NO · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Bijan Robinson RB2 in half-PPR for Week 4 (ATL vs NO): start in a 12-team league. Median 21.6 points, floor 10.7 (p10), ceiling 34.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB2 (median 23.9). Standard: RB2 (median 19.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB2 | Start | 23.9 | 12.3 | 37.3 |
| Half-PPR | RB2 | Start | 21.6 | 10.7 | 34.5 |
| Standard | RB2 | Start | 19.3 | 8.9 | 32.2 |
Game environment: ATL market-implied team total 23.2 vs 24.8 for NO (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 25% target share, 64% carry share, 67% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Bijan Robinson vs similar RBs
- Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs? Bijan Robinson outscores Jahmyr Gibbs in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bijan Robinson or Aaron Jones Sr.? Bijan Robinson outscores Aaron Jones Sr. in 59% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bijan Robinson or Kenneth Walker III? Bijan Robinson outscores Kenneth Walker III in 62% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bijan Robinson or James Cook III? Bijan Robinson outscores James Cook III in 66% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1), Aaron Jones Sr. (RB3), Kenneth Walker III (RB4).
Compare Bijan Robinson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings