PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Bhayshul Tuten or Rhamondre Stevenson: who should I start in Week 4?
· Bhayshul Tuten: JAC vs CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Rhamondre Stevenson: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bhayshul Tuten edges Rhamondre Stevenson, outscoring him in 51.9% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Rhamondre Stevenson (51%). Standard: Bhayshul Tuten (55%). Need a safe floor? Bhayshul Tuten (p10 2.8). Need upside? Bhayshul Tuten (p85 15.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 49% | RB23 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 16.1 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 51% | RB21 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 16.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 52% | RB22 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 15.3 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 48% | RB23 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 14.5 | |
| Standard | Bhayshul Tuten | 55% | RB22 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 14.6 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 45% | RB25 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 13.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.