PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Christian McCaffrey or Ashton Jeanty: who should I start in Week 4?
· Christian McCaffrey: SF vs DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Ashton Jeanty: LV vs KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Christian McCaffrey edges Ashton Jeanty, outscoring him in 54.3% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (55%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Christian McCaffrey (p10 4.8). Need upside? Christian McCaffrey (p85 25.6).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Christian McCaffrey | 55% | RB9 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 27.8 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 45% | RB11 | 14.2 | 5.7 | 25.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Christian McCaffrey | 54% | RB9 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 25.6 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 46% | RB11 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 23.4 | |
| Standard | Christian McCaffrey | 53% | RB9 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 23.6 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 47% | RB11 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 21.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.