PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Jeremiyah Love or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jeremiyah Love: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Start Jeremiyah Love over Braelon Allen in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 60% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (66%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Jeremiyah Love (p10 3.9). Need upside? Jeremiyah Love (p85 19.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 66% | RB16 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.0 |
| Braelon Allen | 34% | RB20 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 17.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 60% | RB17 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 19.2 |
| Braelon Allen | 40% | RB20 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 16.8 | |
| Standard | Jeremiyah Love | 54% | RB17 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 16.6 |
| Braelon Allen | 46% | RB20 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 16.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.