PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Kalif Raymond or Stefon Diggs: who should I start in Week 4?
· Kalif Raymond: CHI vs NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Stefon Diggs: WAS vs IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Kalif Raymond edges Stefon Diggs, outscoring him in 51.8% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (52%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Kalif Raymond (p10 3.3). Need upside? Kalif Raymond (p85 18.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Kalif Raymond | 52% | WR18 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 22.5 |
| Stefon Diggs | 48% | WR22 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 21.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Kalif Raymond | 52% | WR18 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 18.5 |
| Stefon Diggs | 48% | WR21 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 18.1 | |
| Standard | Kalif Raymond | 52% | WR22 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 14.7 |
| Stefon Diggs | 48% | WR26 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.