PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Oronde Gadsden II or Juwan Johnson: who should I start in Week 4?
· Oronde Gadsden II: LAC vs SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Juwan Johnson: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Start Oronde Gadsden II over Juwan Johnson in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 56% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (56%). Need a safe floor? Oronde Gadsden II (p10 3.0). Need upside? Oronde Gadsden II (p85 20.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Oronde Gadsden II | 56% | TE2 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 24.1 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44% | TE4 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 22.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Oronde Gadsden II | 56% | TE2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 20.3 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44% | TE3 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 18.6 | |
| Standard | Oronde Gadsden II | 56% | TE2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 16.7 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44% | TE3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 15.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.