PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Oronde Gadsden II or Sam LaPorta: who should I start in Week 4?
· Oronde Gadsden II: LAC vs SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Sam LaPorta: DET vs CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Start Oronde Gadsden II over Sam LaPorta in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 61% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (61%) and standard (61%). Need a safe floor? Oronde Gadsden II (p10 3.0). Need upside? Oronde Gadsden II (p85 20.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Oronde Gadsden II | 61% | TE2 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 24.1 |
| Sam LaPorta | 39% | TE6 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 19.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Oronde Gadsden II | 61% | TE2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 20.3 |
| Sam LaPorta | 39% | TE5 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 15.9 | |
| Standard | Oronde Gadsden II | 61% | TE2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 16.7 |
| Sam LaPorta | 39% | TE7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 12.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.