PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Quinshon Judkins or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 4?
· Quinshon Judkins: CLE vs PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Quinshon Judkins edges Braelon Allen, outscoring him in 54.2% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Quinshon Judkins (p10 3.0). Need upside? Braelon Allen (p85 16.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Quinshon Judkins | 56% | RB19 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 18.0 |
| Braelon Allen | 44% | RB20 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 17.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Quinshon Judkins | 54% | RB19 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 16.5 |
| Braelon Allen | 46% | RB20 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 16.8 | |
| Standard | Quinshon Judkins | 52% | RB21 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 15.1 |
| Braelon Allen | 48% | RB20 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 16.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.