PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Trey McBride or Oronde Gadsden II: who should I start in Week 4?
· Trey McBride: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Oronde Gadsden II: LAC vs SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Trey McBride edges Oronde Gadsden II, outscoring him in 53.2% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (54%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Trey McBride (p10 3.3). Need upside? Trey McBride (p85 21.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Trey McBride | 54% | TE1 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 26.0 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | 46% | TE2 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 24.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Trey McBride | 53% | TE1 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 21.9 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | 47% | TE2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 20.3 | |
| Standard | Trey McBride | 52% | TE1 | 8.1 | 1.8 | 17.7 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | 48% | TE2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 16.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.