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Should I start CeeDee Lamb in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · DAL vs HOU · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks CeeDee Lamb WR10 in half-PPR for Week 4 (DAL vs HOU): start in a 12-team league. Median 11.6 points, floor 3.9 (p10), ceiling 21.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR10 (median 14.2). Standard: WR11 (median 8.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR10 | Start | 14.2 | 5.3 | 26.0 |
| Half-PPR | WR10 | Start | 11.6 | 3.9 | 21.9 |
| Standard | WR11 | Start | 8.8 | 2.5 | 18.1 |
Game environment: DAL market-implied team total 22.8 vs 25.8 for HOU (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 25% target share, 2% carry share, 79% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: CeeDee Lamb vs similar WRs
- CeeDee Lamb or Zay Flowers? CeeDee Lamb outscores Zay Flowers in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- CeeDee Lamb or Puka Nacua? CeeDee Lamb outscores Puka Nacua in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- CeeDee Lamb or Josh Downs? CeeDee Lamb outscores Josh Downs in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- CeeDee Lamb or Dontayvion Wicks? CeeDee Lamb outscores Dontayvion Wicks in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- CeeDee Lamb or Malik Washington? CeeDee Lamb outscores Malik Washington in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- CeeDee Lamb or Nico Collins? CeeDee Lamb outscores Nico Collins in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Puka Nacua (WR8), Josh Downs (WR9), Dontayvion Wicks (WR11), Malik Washington (WR12).
Compare CeeDee Lamb with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings