PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Cade Otton or Kenyon Sadiq: who should I start in Week 4?
· Cade Otton: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Kenyon Sadiq: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Cade Otton edges Kenyon Sadiq, outscoring him in 50.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (50%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Kenyon Sadiq (p10 1.5). Need upside? Cade Otton (p85 12.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Cade Otton | 50% | TE16 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15.0 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 50% | TE17 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 14.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Cade Otton | 50% | TE15 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 12.2 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 50% | TE16 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 11.1 | |
| Standard | Cade Otton | 50% | TE15 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 9.6 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 50% | TE14 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 8.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.