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Should I start Cade Otton in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TB vs GB · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Cade Otton TE15 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TB vs GB): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 5.3 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 12.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE16 (median 7.2). Standard: TE15 (median 3.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE16 | Borderline | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15.0 |
| Half-PPR | TE15 | Borderline | 5.3 | 1.3 | 12.2 |
| Standard | TE15 | Borderline | 3.4 | 0.6 | 9.6 |
Game environment: TB market-implied team total 18.0 vs 21.0 for GB (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 18% target share, 0% carry share, 94% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Cade Otton vs similar TEs
- Cade Otton or T.J. Hockenson? Cade Otton outscores T.J. Hockenson in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Cade Otton or Hunter Henry? Cade Otton outscores Hunter Henry in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Cade Otton or Dalton Schultz? Cade Otton outscores Dalton Schultz in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Cade Otton or Kenyon Sadiq? Cade Otton outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Hunter Henry (TE13), Dalton Schultz (TE14), Kenyon Sadiq (TE16), Isaiah Likely (TE17).
Compare Cade Otton with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings