PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Dalton Schultz or Cade Otton: who should I start in Week 4?
· Dalton Schultz: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cade Otton: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Dalton Schultz edges Cade Otton, outscoring him in 51.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Dalton Schultz (p10 1.4). Need upside? Cade Otton (p85 12.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Dalton Schultz | 51% | TE13 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 15.1 |
| Cade Otton | 49% | TE16 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Dalton Schultz | 51% | TE14 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 12.1 |
| Cade Otton | 49% | TE15 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 12.2 | |
| Standard | Dalton Schultz | 51% | TE16 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 9.1 |
| Cade Otton | 49% | TE15 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 9.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.