PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
George Kittle or Hunter Henry: who should I start in Week 4?
· George Kittle: SF vs DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: George Kittle edges Hunter Henry, outscoring him in 53.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? George Kittle (p10 1.1). Need upside? George Kittle (p85 15.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | George Kittle | 53% | TE12 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 18.0 |
| Hunter Henry | 47% | TE14 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 16.6 | |
| Half-PPR | George Kittle | 53% | TE10 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 15.4 |
| Hunter Henry | 47% | TE13 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 14.3 | |
| Standard | George Kittle | 53% | TE10 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 13.1 |
| Hunter Henry | 47% | TE12 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 12.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.