PropPlayers › TE › NE
Should I start Hunter Henry in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NE vs BUF · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Hunter Henry TE13 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NE vs BUF): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 5.6 points, floor 0.9 (p10), ceiling 14.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE14 (median 7.3). Standard: TE12 (median 3.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE14 | Borderline | 7.3 | 1.4 | 16.6 |
| Half-PPR | TE13 | Borderline | 5.6 | 0.9 | 14.3 |
| Standard | TE12 | Start | 3.8 | 0.4 | 12.0 |
Game environment: NE market-implied team total 21.5 vs 28.5 for BUF (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 13% target share, 0% carry share, 79% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Hunter Henry vs similar TEs
- Hunter Henry or George Kittle? Hunter Henry outscores George Kittle in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Hunter Henry or Harold Fannin Jr.? Hunter Henry outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Hunter Henry or T.J. Hockenson? Hunter Henry outscores T.J. Hockenson in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Hunter Henry or Dalton Schultz? Hunter Henry outscores Dalton Schultz in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Hunter Henry or Cade Otton? Hunter Henry outscores Cade Otton in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Hunter Henry or Kenyon Sadiq? Hunter Henry outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Harold Fannin Jr. (TE11), T.J. Hockenson (TE12), Dalton Schultz (TE14), Cade Otton (TE15).
Compare Hunter Henry with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings