PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Ja'Marr Chase or Jordan Addison: who should I start in Week 4?
· Ja'Marr Chase: CIN vs JAC, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Ja'Marr Chase edges Jordan Addison, outscoring him in 54.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Ja'Marr Chase (p10 4.5). Need upside? Ja'Marr Chase (p85 27.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Ja'Marr Chase | 56% | WR3 | 17.0 | 6.2 | 31.7 |
| Jordan Addison | 44% | WR8 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 29.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Ja'Marr Chase | 54% | WR3 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 27.5 |
| Jordan Addison | 46% | WR6 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 26.1 | |
| Standard | Ja'Marr Chase | 53% | WR2 | 10.5 | 2.6 | 23.3 |
| Jordan Addison | 47% | WR5 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 22.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.