PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Jeremiyah Love or Alvin Kamara: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jeremiyah Love: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Alvin Kamara: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Jeremiyah Love edges Alvin Kamara, outscoring him in 54.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Jeremiyah Love (p10 3.9). Need upside? Jeremiyah Love (p85 19.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 56% | RB16 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.0 |
| Alvin Kamara | 44% | RB18 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 19.3 | |
| Half-PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 55% | RB17 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 19.2 |
| Alvin Kamara | 45% | RB18 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 17.3 | |
| Standard | Jeremiyah Love | 52% | RB17 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 16.6 |
| Alvin Kamara | 48% | RB19 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 15.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.