What is Amon-Ra St. Brown's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 4.7, median 13.4, ceiling 25.8. PPR: 6.4 / 16.7 / 30.3. Standard: 2.8 / 10.2 / 21.5. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › WR › DET

Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · DET vs CAR · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 1:30 AM ET

START

PropSims ranks Amon-Ra St. Brown WR4 in half-PPR for Week 4 (DET vs CAR): start in a 12-team league. Median 13.4 points, floor 4.7 (p10), ceiling 25.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR4 (median 16.7). Standard: WR4 (median 10.2).

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Floor p10	Ceiling p85
PPR	WR4	Start	16.7	6.4	30.3
Half-PPR	WR4	Start	13.4	4.7	25.8
Standard	WR4	Start	10.2	2.8	21.5

Game environment: DET market-implied team total 27.2 vs 23.8 for CAR (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 32% target share, 0% carry share, 86% snap rate (nflverse).

Close calls: Amon-Ra St. Brown vs similar WRs

Amon-Ra St. Brown or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 43% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Chris Olave? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Chris Olave in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Ja'Marr Chase? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Garrett Wilson? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Garrett Wilson in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Jordan Addison? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Jordan Addison in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Zay Flowers? Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Zay Flowers in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).

Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Chris Olave (WR2), Ja'Marr Chase (WR3), Garrett Wilson (WR5), Jordan Addison (WR6).

Compare Amon-Ra St. Brown with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings