PropPlayers › WR › NO
Should I start Chris Olave in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NO vs ATL · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Chris Olave WR2 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NO vs ATL): start in a 12-team league. Median 13.9 points, floor 5.6 (p10), ceiling 25.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR2 (median 17.5). Standard: WR3 (median 10.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR2 | Start | 17.5 | 7.5 | 30.0 |
| Half-PPR | WR2 | Start | 13.9 | 5.6 | 25.1 |
| Standard | WR3 | Start | 10.3 | 3.5 | 20.3 |
Game environment: NO market-implied team total 24.8 vs 23.2 for ATL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 30% target share, 0% carry share, 85% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Chris Olave vs similar WRs
- Chris Olave or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? Chris Olave outscores Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 43% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Ja'Marr Chase? Chris Olave outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Chris Olave outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? Chris Olave outscores Garrett Wilson in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR1), Ja'Marr Chase (WR3), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4).
Compare Chris Olave with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings