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Should I start Bryce Young in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CAR vs DET · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Bryce Young QB5 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CAR vs DET): start in a 12-team league. Median 17.6 points, floor 9.1 (p10), ceiling 27.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB5 (median 17.6). Standard: QB5 (median 17.6).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB5 | Start | 17.6 | 9.1 | 27.7 |
| Half-PPR | QB5 | Start | 17.6 | 9.1 | 27.7 |
| Standard | QB5 | Start | 17.6 | 9.1 | 27.7 |
Game environment: CAR market-implied team total 23.8 vs 27.2 for DET (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 0% target share, 5% carry share, 95% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Bryce Young vs similar QBs
- Bryce Young or Tyler Shough? Bryce Young outscores Tyler Shough in 42% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bryce Young or Patrick Mahomes? Bryce Young outscores Patrick Mahomes in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bryce Young or Lamar Jackson? Bryce Young outscores Lamar Jackson in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bryce Young or Drake Maye? Bryce Young outscores Drake Maye in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bryce Young or Jared Goff? Bryce Young outscores Jared Goff in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Bryce Young or Tyson Bagent? Bryce Young outscores Tyson Bagent in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Patrick Mahomes (QB3), Lamar Jackson (QB4), Drake Maye (QB6), Jared Goff (QB7).
Compare Bryce Young with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings