PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Hunter Henry or Cade Otton: who should I start in Week 4?
· Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cade Otton: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Hunter Henry edges Cade Otton, outscoring him in 50.8% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Cade Otton (50%). Standard: Hunter Henry (52%). Need a safe floor? Cade Otton (p10 1.3). Need upside? Hunter Henry (p85 14.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Hunter Henry | 50% | TE14 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 16.6 |
| Cade Otton | 50% | TE16 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Hunter Henry | 51% | TE13 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 14.3 |
| Cade Otton | 49% | TE15 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 12.2 | |
| Standard | Hunter Henry | 52% | TE12 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 12.0 |
| Cade Otton | 48% | TE15 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 9.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.