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Should I start Jaxon Smith-Njigba in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SEA vs LAC · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 in half-PPR for Week 4 (SEA vs LAC): start in a 12-team league. Median 16.0 points, floor 6.0 (p10), ceiling 30.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR1 (median 19.6). Standard: WR1 (median 12.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR1 | Start | 19.6 | 7.9 | 35.0 |
| Half-PPR | WR1 | Start | 16.0 | 6.0 | 30.2 |
| Standard | WR1 | Start | 12.5 | 4.0 | 25.7 |
Game environment: SEA market-implied team total 24.8 vs 17.8 for LAC (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 40% target share, 0% carry share, 81% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs similar WRs
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Chris Olave? Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores Chris Olave in 57% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Ja'Marr Chase? Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 56% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 57% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Chris Olave (WR2), Ja'Marr Chase (WR3).
Compare Jaxon Smith-Njigba with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings